Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 163.067825 193.618982 231.287146 282.220537 351.070036 4.437539e+02 583.413754
2024-12-22 119.237494 152.125483 197.485286 267.808341 380.890611 5.706521e+02 957.071147
2024-12-29 101.442935 136.398598 188.875622 279.795754 450.431981 8.078514e+02 1856.632629
2025-01-05 85.457811 118.606949 171.054178 268.758391 473.126990 9.822355e+02 3098.638024
2025-01-12 76.437771 109.193236 163.602344 272.312812 526.433253 1.296920e+03 6566.993592
2025-01-19 68.117170 99.284743 152.872526 265.581813 552.705054 1.582332e+03 14029.639577
2025-01-26 66.078150 99.281350 159.470462 296.848432 701.750728 2.711460e+03 215736.918859
2025-02-02 65.582757 101.745266 171.147021 344.913799 958.285692 5.989911e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 60.688629 95.496005 164.032101 343.209760 1035.704754 8.825804e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 57.148338 91.285554 160.373614 349.774454 1162.837877 1.548532e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 54.537037 88.493706 159.242966 363.475973 1353.471568 3.648330e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 51.740091 84.992009 155.881090 369.261881 1517.770259 1.027017e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 48.355558 80.463262 150.599892 371.539040 1713.689712 1.006658e+06 NaN
2025-03-16 44.067065 73.722427 139.167553 349.374680 1697.517074 2.321891e+07 NaN
2025-03-23 42.142875 71.615544 138.638990 366.844630 2106.949083 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 39.027331 66.662457 130.133961 350.547412 2139.378953 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 37.121227 64.071090 127.236909 355.760206 2482.191242 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 34.873389 60.518121 121.265633 345.881072 2603.427056 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 34.680887 61.403311 127.266844 392.135377 4099.494697 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 34.962891 63.376034 136.808142 465.051179 8212.961357 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 33.325059 60.764304 132.538186 462.429535 9650.160020 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 32.102648 59.009093 130.564651 472.543658 12809.961871 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 31.182674 57.878310 130.318044 493.779268 19661.750895 NaN NaN